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3/02/2006


 

Free Republic Commentary 3/02-7/14

Battle Hymns of the Madmen in Tehran [Why Iran wants this War]
Posted by humint to freedom44
On News/Activism 07/14/2006 10:10:59 PM PDT · 9 of 11

We should invest more aggressively in their liberation before we have to deal with a fanatical regime armed with nuclear weapons with a potent desire to drive the world towards Armageddon.

It is impossible to disagree with this conclusion because investing in liberation is an inherently righteous act. The described path to liberty is a function of the describer and my reading of this work leads me to believe this author shares my vision of liberty. My only supplement is to say, "Stay the course". This is a long term investment in the liberty of all human kind. This work suggests an investment in a people who subscribe to Islam and speak Farsi. The returns on this investment are not as easily measured as, for example, day trading on an IPO.

I happen to believe the returns will be incalculably profitable. However, fortitude is necessary to weather the storms of data that does not fit our individual preconceptions... Success depends on our ability to absorb reality and act on it. History tells us that the free, educated mind is more capable than the caged, educated mind. So ask yourself, "who is truly free and truly educated?". Are they fully engaged in this war for the liberation of Iran?


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Ahmadinejad: Iran is out of Israel's reach
Posted by humint to West Coast Conservative
On News/Activism 07/14/2006 11:27:24 AM PDT · 68 of 130

Ahmadinejad: Iran is out of Israel's reach

The agitate and war monger Ahmadinejad is getting what he and his crew want. It's a damn shame that the good people of Lebanon have to suffer the blows that Iranian theocrats deserve. I do however find it ironic that the jet fuel being supplied (in part) by Iran is enabling Israeli forces to bring justice to terrorists funded by Iran. Ahmadinejad is defeating himself... again.



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Zogby International Poll of Iranians Reveals a Society in Flux
Posted by humint to Joseph_CutlerUSA
On News/Activism 07/13/2006 2:02:19 PM PDT · 17 of 17

The results contradict assertions that younger Iranians are necessarily in love with America or more rational.

If the results with respect to that question are accurate; I estimate the discrepancy is from young Iranians regurgitating propaganda they have heard their entire life to a pollster over the phone, as opposed to meeting a citizen of the Great Satan in person. Iranians are extremely kind in person and so are Americans. As a general rule, when the two meet, smiles, hugs and handshakes commence. In person, the wall of lies built by the Iranian government is shattered and that warm fuzzy feeling is propagated by tourists, journalists and pundits who visit Iranians in their streets.

That's my impression anyway...


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Zogby International Poll of Iranians Reveals a Society in Flux
Posted by humint to freedom44
On News/Activism 07/13/2006 1:52:46 PM PDT · 16 of 17

Iranians can go to jail, be tortured and murdered for particiating in polls that disagree with the government hence this polls accuracy is off the board.

Yes, I've mentioned something to that effect... twice... however, there is still a baby in this bath water.


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Zogby International Poll of Iranians Reveals a Society in Flux
Posted by humint to Comstock1
On News/Activism 07/13/2006 12:05:41 PM PDT · 12 of 17

Polling in a country like Iran would have to have a huge margin of error because polling is ILLEGAL.

You bring up an interesting point. However it's not poll questions that are illegal, it's dissenting answers that are. Splitting hairs? Maybe...


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Zogby International Poll of Iranians Reveals a Society in Flux
Posted by humint to Mobile Vulgus
On News/Activism 07/13/2006 11:40:29 AM PDT · 10 of 17

...I can't believe ANYONE would use that liar and poll skewer, Zogby, for ANYTHING. He is untrustworthy in the extreme and tips every poll about Muslims to make them seem like Mary Poppins and Republicans to make them seem next to Satan.

POLLS AND UNCERTAINTY: The uncertainty principle itself is a branch of quantum mechanics, which states that in order to measure something, its state must be altered in order to do so- that is- it is impossible to observe something without interfering with the system. Therefore, any measurements made on something must have an uncertainty because of the changes made during the observation. It can only be said that there is a certain probability that the object under observation is indeed where you have measured it to be- which in the process, creates a probability that the object is somewhere else entirely.

One must take polls for what they're worth... The results of a poll should facilitate the start of debate, not be the end of one. To your point, I've serious doubt Zogby's reputation held sway over Iranian answers to these poll questions. Certainly no more than the Iranian government would. A government that by the way, is notorious for accusing its dissident citizenry of spying for Israeli and jailing them indefinitely. I bet that particular human rites violating policy has an effect on whether or not an average Iranian would openly speak their mind as to the legitimacy of the Israeli state.


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Zogby International Poll of Iranians Reveals a Society in Flux
Posted by humint
On News/Activism 07/13/2006 10:47:14 AM PDT · 16 replies · 381+ views


humintel.blogspot.com ^ | 13 July 2006 | Zogby
By: The Reader's Digest Association, Inc.; Zogby InternationalPublished: Jul 13, 2006 at 08:13 While Iran's nuclear program grabs headlines around the world, a new Reader's Digest-Zogby International survey reports that Iranians (41%) said reforming their national economy so it operates more efficiently is more important than nuclear capability. A smaller number, 27%, said the country's top priority should be to develop an arsenal of nuclear weapons, and 23% said the top goal for their government should be to expand the freedoms of its citizens. These and other opinions were documented in a wide-ranging survey of Iranian citizens that revealed...

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Iranian Alert - July 12, 2006 - Iranian Press hides EU blacklisting of Iran.
Posted by humint to DoctorZIn
On News/Activism 07/12/2006 11:39:52 PM PDT · 5 of 6

SOURCE: The Germans, Brits, and American “realists” who like this [incentives and broad security guarantees] line of argument are never particularly specific on whether this public disavowal of the use of force is an unconditional promise, or whether it would be qualified. For example, if the clerical regime did a Khobar Towers II and again killed American soldiers, would that constitute grounds for an invasion, or perhaps just an airborne military assault? They also never bother to give a history of promises kept by the Islamic Republic.

The list of promises kept is far shorter than the list of outright lies and threats of violence. Are the realists keeping score?


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After Londonistan--Far from confronting the Islamist threat, wavering on both sides of the Atlantic.
Posted by humint to odds
On News/Activism 07/12/2006 11:15:30 PM PDT · 14 of 15

The truth, as I see it, is: Any time a government with all its entourage, influencers and players, visibly demonstrates significant, or even the slightest, internal weakness, that weakness will be exploited.

Open societies are prone to destructive as well as constructive influence, indeed they thrive on the influence of dissenting opinions. Unfortunately, Britain’s open society has transitioned away from a healthy toleration of dissent from its Muslim community, toward ignoring them and assuming they are still expressing healthy dissent. Their best hope is to acknowledge the very real threat their neighbors pose and confront them at their ideological source. At its core, the threat of violence is spread and amplified by emotional rhetoric. The rhetoric’s target is the intelligent Muslim youth who are encouraged not to reconcile their life with the lives of their less fortunate Muslim brothers who suffer intolerable wrongs. The wrongs, according to the rhetoric, are deliberate acts by aggressive forces that must be fought. Glory can only come from struggle against an oppressive foe, hence the reason why “Peace Corp”-like organizations are not currently swamped with Muslim volunteers. I believe that Blair’s goals could be achieved through aggressive social outreach programs organized by trained NGOs who perform heavy recruiting for Britain’s intelligent Muslim youth into “Peace Corp”-like organizations. That said, if the Brits stop ignoring the threat next door, it’s not too difficult for them to demonstrate how each British citizen can be a part of the solution.

AUGUST 2002 British Royal Marines saved a Peace Corps Volunteer who was kidnapped in a local rebellion in Malaysia by a Moslem leader. The terrorists announced that they were going to hang their prisoners if their demands were not met. A contingent of British Marines landed at Limbang and freed the hostages only hours before the first execution was scheduled. Five Marines were killed in this action.

Programs that included the kind of lesson the event above articulates would be a productive way to prevent Britons from facilitating the threat they face from homegrown terror.


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Get Rid of ElBaradei - The MSM is trying to cover-up this story
Posted by humint to nuconvert
On News/Activism 07/11/2006 10:17:56 PM PDT · 18 of 20


Exiled Iranian Says Nation Hides Materials
Posted by humint to conservativecorner
On News/Activism 11/21/2005 4:30:23 PM PST · 8 of 8

7 out of 22 location identified by Jafarzadeh are resolved... The IAEA just got a 32% on its Iran proliferation pop quiz... I think... Honestly, I don't know what to think?

IAEA Report Card: 32% out of 100%...

or



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Exiled Iranian Says Nation Hides Materials


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World must stop Iran
Posted by humint
On News/Activism 07/11/2006 9:44:16 AM PDT · 5 replies · 200+ views


AAP ^ | July 11, 2006 | Australia's Foreign Minister Alexander Downer
THE world must stop Iran from developing nuclear weapons and do more to help spread democracy, Foreign Minister Alexander Downer has said. In a wide-ranging speech in Adelaide tonight, Mr Downer said the only way to defeat extremism was to bring democracy to the Middle East. Mr Downer promoted the role of globalisation in alleviating poverty, defended Australia's involvement in Iraq and touted Canberra's efforts at improving stability in the Asia-Pacific. He said the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks proved that allowing aggressive regimes to carry on unhindered was dangerous and negligent. "When a regime like the Taliban says it...

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Iranian Alert - July 11, 2006 - Iran and this week's G-8 Summit in Russia.
Posted by humint to DoctorZIn
On News/Activism 07/10/2006 10:05:32 PM PDT · 3 of 4

on the anniversary of the July 9th, 1999 attack by the Iranian regime on the Iranian student movement in Tehran the Iranian community failed mobilize its supporters in massive demonstrations.

Tehran, Iran, Jul. 10 – A large number of students from several universities in the Iranian capital staged anti-government protests on Sunday which marked the seventh anniversary of a nationwide student uprising that rattled the ruling theocracy, according to dissidents.


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Today in history: July 11
Posted by humint
On News/Activism 07/10/2006 9:47:07 PM PDT · 2 replies · 154+ views


msnbc ^ | 11 July 2006 | AP
Today is Tuesday, July eleventh, the 192nd day of 2006. There are 173 days left in the year. On July eleventh, 1804, Vice President Aaron Burr mortally wounded former Treasury Secretary Alexander Hamilton during a pistol duel in Weehawken, New Jersey. In 1533, Pope Clement the Seventh excommunicated England’s King Henry the Eighth. In 1767, John Quincy Adams, the sixth president of the United States, was born in Braintree, Massachusetts. In 1798, the U-S Marine Corps was formally re-established by a congressional act that also created the U-S Marine Band. In 1995, the United States normalized relations with Vietnam. Five...

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EU Set To Host Iran Nuclear Talks
Posted by humint to sageb1
On News/Activism 07/10/2006 9:35:57 PM PDT · 5 of 7

Dr. Larijani holds a Ph.D. and Masters degree in western philosophy

He must know us better than we know our selves.

Do we know him?

IMAM ALI: Do not expect honesty and purity of intention from someone who has suffered from your malice; do not expect loyalty from one to whom you have been disloyal; do not expect goodwill from someone whom you regard with ill-will: his heart towards you is the same as your heart towards him.


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PAIN BEGONE - NATURE TO THE RESCUE
Posted by humint to FARS
On General/Chat 07/10/2006 4:37:53 PM PDT · 19 of 23

It acts by blocking the calcium channels on the nerves that transmit pain signals. Once the channels are blocked, calcium cannot enter the cells, and pain signals are blocked from traveling between nerve cells.

Damn!!! I'm kicking my calcium addiction, pronto.


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Iran running out of options: US
Posted by humint to Flavius
On News/Activism 07/09/2006 7:00:00 PM PDT · 3 of 10

"The Iranians miscalculated. They thought they could divide the United States from our European allies and Russia and China, but we've been able to craft a united coalition of all those countries," Mr Burns told NBC television.

Burns has appears to have transferred his own rational thinking to his Iranian counterparts when they may be opearting on a different equation. Even if their equation is different the Iranians may still have miscalculated. Not all of the leadership in Tehran has as deep a faith as Ahmadinejad. If Ahmadinejad likens himself to Imam Husayn, the more the odds are stacked against him, the more righteous he and his crew become.

Regardless, there is no better way to proceed than Burn’s approach. He and his team have done an incredible job under incredibly difficult circumstances. There is no doubt that they turned the tide on the Iranians.


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Window on Islam
Posted by humint to MountainMenace
On News/Activism 07/09/2006 6:05:34 PM PDT · 8 of 40

Great Post.

I think that the way that Ahmadinejad is talking now shows quite clearly his contempt for the Western world in general and the United States in particular. They feel they are dealing with, as Osama bin Laden put it, an effete, degenerate, pampered enemy incapable of real resistance. And they are proceeding on that assumption. And my only hope is that they are not right in their interpretation of the Western world.

I believe free societies are inherently prone to compromise and such behavior is extremely rewarding when reciprocated. Great effort is extended to demonstrate the rewards that come from mutual respect and compromise. But what happens when compromising behavior is not reciprocated? What happens when the results of a deal with the uncompromising partner (like Iran) are tantamount to the end of our entire way of life?

The free world will eventually fight. And that fight will be more savage than the uncompromising forces are able to imagine. In the uncompromising mind, compromise equates to weakness. To them, everyday the West is weaker than the day before. The enemies of freedom come to the table unaware of the incredible power that flows from the free mind tempered with restraint. The problem for free societies is that, by design, they are perpetually unprepared to fight. Ultimately this is a good quality for a free society to have despite the ever present social perception of military error. No matter how capable the armies of a free society, no matter the number of casualties, the act of fighting alone is perceived as failure.


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Is a History Lesson What's Dividing the U.S. and Iran?
Posted by humint to MNJohnnie
On Bloggers & Personal 07/09/2006 5:13:32 PM PDT · 3 of 3

"The Mullahs of Iran have chosen to place themselves "outside the family of nations" We are under no obligation to "respect" that choice anymore than we should respect the "Choice" of a criminal who commits murder."

Well Said.


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Is a History Lesson What's Dividing the U.S. and Iran?
Posted by humint
On Bloggers & Personal 07/09/2006 4:28:38 PM PDT · 2 replies · 148+ views


George Mason University, History News Network --- via humint --- ^ | 7-10-06 | By Dino E. Buenviaje
For the Bush administration, its conflict with Iran began with news of the Iranian nuclear enrichment program. For Iranians, the conflict started in 1901 when the British took advantage of a weak government to obtain a highly profitable oil concession. Since then, Iran has been locked in a struggle to control its own destiny, even at the risk of confrontation with the international community. Every successive American President since Jimmy Carter has been inaugurated with the historical conflict with Iran. The Iran Libya Sanctions Act, although lifted for Libya, is still in full effect for Iran. Also the US remains...

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Iran Asks IAEA to Remove Chief Inspector
Posted by humint to Brian Mosely; nuconvert
On News/Activism 07/09/2006 8:45:39 AM PDT · 13 of 16

It also has a link to a good translation. Apparently, the IAEA tried to prevent the publication of the article.

Good article and good additional material… Apparently Iran's bullying tactics are considered classified by the IAEA? Although it's news worthy, this latest act represents the same sort of capitulation that's been going on for years.


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Iran Asks IAEA to Remove Chief Inspector
Posted by humint to Pox
On News/Activism 07/09/2006 8:34:58 AM PDT · 12 of 16

After seeing the incompetent Blix letting Saddam get away with anything he wanted, Iran simply wants to play the same game as well. Continue to request a change until they get someone as stupid as Blix, or should I say as corrupt, and they'll be home free.

Yep... This is just another example of how the Iranian theocratic dictatorship pressures international institutions to behave like they do. They pressure foreign journalists in a similar way. Its sad that this behavior is tolerated.


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Iran Asks IAEA to Remove Chief Inspector
Posted by humint
On News/Activism 07/09/2006 7:50:11 AM PDT · 15 replies · 408+ views


The Associated Press ^ | Sunday, July 9, 2006; 10:11 AM | By GEORGE JAHN
BETINA, Croatia -- Iran has asked the International Atomic Energy Agency to remove the head of the inspection team probing Tehran's nuclear program, U.N. officials said Sunday. The inspector, Chris Charlier, has not been back to Iran since April because of Iranian displeasure with his work, the officials said. However, Charlier remains the head of the team, they said, speaking on condition of anonymity because the issue was confidential. The German newspaper Welt am Sonntag reported Sunday that Charlier had been removed from his post and assigned to other duties. It quoted him as saying he believes Iran is operating...

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OPEN SOURCE HUMINT ANALYSIS [OSHA]-Iran: 2006 JULY 06
Posted by humint to FARS
On Bloggers & Personal 07/08/2006 5:38:17 PM PDT · 8 of 8

CONCLUSION: Conflict between the West and Iran is inevitable. Iranian dissidents will play a major role in the conflict but their role must be in concert with the roles of other forces or they will be sidelined. Right now, time is on the side of West for two reasons. Firstly, Iraq will increasingly offset Iran in terms of energy market influence and second, the Iranian government from its inception exists in a state of constant decay. American officials should begin to consider the American role there to win the peace when Iran’s government finally self implodes.

You might enlighten us more on the "time is on our side" comment

Actually I'm suggesting that what the US has done in Iraq has secured the high ground in any future fight the West may have with Iran. Unless Iran pulls a rabbit out of its hat, (IE, already has an operable nuc it purchased clandestinely), the West will trounce Iran on all conceivable fronts. There is an incredible amount of work left to be done to maintain and extend the US advantage however the tipping point occurred to our favor. It is also my opinion that Iran will make a future fight with them unavoidable despite their disadvantage. I hope I'm wrong and the Iranian government implodes without a bloody fight. The real question that should come from my conclusion, "how big is their political supernova going to blow and how much is the subsequent cleanup operation going to cost?"


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OPEN SOURCE HUMINT ANALYSIS [OSHA]-Iran: 2006 JULY 06
Posted by humint to FARS
On Bloggers & Personal 07/07/2006 7:50:13 PM PDT · 6 of 8

Two BTWs:

Thanks for your BTWs... I will dig into them both. I checked out antimullah.com and found value there. Mr. Peters has a unique perspective that encourages debate and would like to see what sort of reaction my analysis brews there. Probably the most outrageous assertion I make in this analysis is, "time is on the side of the US". This assertion is in contrast to many informed opinions of the day, possibly because the owners of said opinions are uninterested in encouraging complacent government officials. Fact is, I'm not interested in encouraging complacent officials either but I call it like I see it, even when I don't like what I see.


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Iran wants oil-linked price for IPI pipeline gas
Posted by humint
On News/Activism 07/07/2006 11:28:36 AM PDT · 3 replies · 191+ views


Business Standard ^ | 06 July 2006 | Press Trust of India
Iran is seeking a price linked to the international crude oil price for the natural gas it wants to sell to India through the $7-billion Iran-Pakistan-India (IPI) pipeline. "Iran has forwarded a gas pricing formula wherein the gas price is linked to Brent crude oil with a fixed escalating cost component (10% of Brent crude oil)," a top government official said. Tehran is seeking a price of $7.2 per million British thermal unit (mBtu), with a 3% annual escalation."This price is more than 50% the prevailing market determined gas price in India," the official said. New Delhi is not...

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IRAN: EDITOR-IN-CHIEF OF FARDA NEWS AGENCY ARRESTED
Posted by humint
On News/Activism 07/07/2006 11:15:13 AM PDT · 12 replies · 499+ views


AKI ^ | 7 July 2006 | AKI
Tehran, 7 July (AKI) - Ali Shokouhi, editor in chief of the Tehran-based FARDA news agency, has been arrested and transferred to an undisclosed location. The arrest this week is considered extremely worrying in Iran as the journalist was very conservative and had worked in the past as a prosecutor. Shokouhi had become well known after he participated in the late 1980s in television shows in which intellectual dissidents were forced to publicly recant their opinions. In two of these shows Shokouhi questioned renowned Iranian intellectual Ehsan Naraghi, a consultant for UNICEF, and Fereidoun Farrokhzad, a very popular singer...

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OPEN SOURCE HUMINT ANALYSIS [OSHA]-Iran: 2006 JULY 06
Posted by humint to DoctorZIn; FARS; odds; familyop; wtc911; Marine_Uncle; freedom44; remuk; bnelson44; Wiz
On Bloggers & Personal 07/06/2006 6:38:05 PM PDT · 2 of 8

ping



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OPEN SOURCE HUMINT ANALYSIS [OSHA]-Iran: 2006 JULY 06
Posted by humint
On Bloggers & Personal 07/06/2006 3:14:04 PM PDT · 7 replies · 188+ views


humint ^ | 06 July 2006 | humint
HUMINT OPEN SOURCE HUMINT ANALYSIS [OSHA]-Iran: 2006 JULY 06 IRANIAN POLICY IN HISTORICAL CONTEXT: Internal and external pressure is mounting on the Iranian government to change current policies that are perceived to be inciting regional instability. The origins of the policy fight stem from the early days of the revolution, primarily from the recognize star of that revolution, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini. Khomeini’s fascist ideology was tempered by his political ambiguity. It is said that he agreed with whomever he was meeting with at the time affording him a great many allies, meanwhile he and his political advisor Ayatollah Beheshti conspired...

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Victor Davis Hanson: Despair and Hope. The short and long wars against radical Islam
Posted by humint to Tolik
On News/Activism 06/27/2006 9:58:22 PM PDT · 30 of 31

But these are ultimately not acts of confidence, but of desperation. As an al Zarqawi knew, the world is evolving; if for the present we can keep our heads, then for eternity the Islamists will eventually lose theirs.

Transcends time... an ability of the brilliant mind.


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UPI Exclusive Interview: Maryam Rajavi (MeK Leader)
Posted by humint to remuk
On News/Activism 06/27/2006 9:02:28 AM PDT · 7 of 7

Could enemy of my enemy be my friend?

In this case, I think so. The group's political platform, established decades ago, affords a considerable amount of information that is right now being used to compare and contrast their actions, the most relevant of which are recent. A part of their platform is to expose WMD and terror programs of the Iranian government. The group has been exposing such details for more than a decade and indeed that work has been extremely supportive of Iranian democracy advocates from all sectors of Iranian society.

Clearly the group participated in ousting the Shah of Iran and has enemies among remnants of that regime. Clearly the group is engaged against the current Iranian government and has enemies within that regime. Clearly there are those within the US government who intend to avoid confrontation with the Iranian government at all cost; to them, the MEK and its works have made avoiding conflict with Iran extremely difficult. Maybe your question should be:

  • Q. Could the enemy of so many ever be my friend?
  • A. If their platform is friendly and they stick to it, sure.


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Iran on the Potomac
Posted by humint
On News/Activism 06/24/2006 2:03:10 PM PDT · 10 replies · 298+ views


Washington Post ^ | Sunday, June 25, 2006; Page B05 | -- Laura Rozen
As the Bush administration frets over Iran's nuclear program, Iranian dissidents are descending on Washington, seeking help in fostering regime change back home. Just one problem: The exiles can't agree on a strategy. Iran's oppositionists are divided over what kind of government should follow the Islamic republic, who should lead it and how the United States can help them bring about regime change in Tehran. There is no Iranian equivalent to the Iraqi National Congress, and the exiles have yet to coalesce around a platform or leader. Herewith a brief guide to the leading Iranian activists in town:

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Europe Backs Bush on Growing Nuke Crises (Austrian Chancellor defends U.S.)
Posted by humint to humint
On News/Activism 06/21/2006 10:45:01 PM PDT · 15 of 47

original: While you and I see what this Australian did as clear as day,

correction: While you and I see what this Austrian did as clear as day,


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Europe Backs Bush on Growing Nuke Crises (Austrian Chancellor defends U.S.)
Posted by humint to Murtyo
On News/Activism 06/21/2006 10:40:26 PM PDT · 14 of 47

I wasn't all the surprised by it, any thinking person would have to make the same observation about the comparisons between the United States and North Korea or Iran that the Austrian leader made.

That's really it isn't it? Cognition... You apparently take for granted that others should think like you when it’s clear many vocal anti-American activists do not. We teach direct comparison in our schools and foster it elsewhere therefore it is correct to directly compare the US to Iran and North Korea. They’re equal aren’t they? If you don’t believe in equality you must be wrong… While you and I see what this Australian did as clear as day, with few exceptions, reward for such vision just doesn’t exist today. Let the reward for knowing the truths of history come from my commentary but subtract it for missing the truths of today. His was truly uncommon sense and that’s why our President was caught unaware.


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Iranian Alert - June 21, 2006 - Dissident Ganji: "We need the spiritual support of the world."
Posted by humint to DoctorZIn
On News/Activism 06/21/2006 9:57:31 PM PDT · 5 of 8

Sharansky on Iran: ‘The Opposition Are Our Real Allies'

While Sharansky is one of the most relevant and accessible democracy advocates of our time he is self centric in his assessment of dissidents. In choosing dissidents, he associates with Iranian dissidents that have little significance when it comes to challenging Iranian theocracy. While there are some strategic similarities between winning the Cold War (Where Sharansky Matters) and solving the Iran Crisis, one mustn’t copy and paste strategy. The USSR sought to challenge the USA in technological innovation and was unable to do so without freedom of thought. The USA crushed the USSR in such pursuits based on the fundamental advantages offered to a free society as opposed to a fear society. Iran has no ambition to compete with the US technologically and therefore has no such constriction. Iranian officials only seek to keep up with weapons designs primarily by purchase, not by self sufficiency. Through officially sanctioned control of the media in Iran, Iranian officials claim technological progress is indigenous when it is obviously not.

The successful Iranian dissident will be markedly different from Sharansky and his Soviet dissident crew at least because the fight is significantly different.

Keep up the great work Dr.


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Zarqawi Killing Directly Linked to Iranian-Provided Intelligence
Posted by humint to FARS
On Bloggers & Personal 06/19/2006 12:22:17 PM PDT · 49 of 50

"The whole situation is in cubic, not linear form and a multiple number of swirls and eddies are mingling to cause what happened to happen."

Good math analogy.


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How good is American intelligence on Iran’s bomb?
Posted by humint to bnelson44
On News/Activism 06/16/2006 9:27:27 PM PDT · 4 of 10

Originally here



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How good is American intelligence on Iran’s bomb?
Posted by humint
On News/Activism 06/16/2006 9:09:34 PM PDT · 9 replies · 308+ views


Daily Times ^ | 17-6-2006 | Graham Allison
Revelations on Iran’s nuclear programme have come either from informants who “walk in” to US embassies or from Iranian dissident groups. Might Western intelligence services have underestimated Iran’s nuclear programme? The judgment that Tehran is five to ten years away from a bomb is based primarily on its overt enrichment programme at Isfahan and Natanz. The dog that hasn’t barked is Iran’s covert programmes for acquiring nuclear weapons For the first time since Iran walked away from negotiations with France, Germany and Great Britain in August 2005, there are rays of optimism in the crisis over the Islamic Republic’s nuclear...

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French remove restrictions on Mujahedeen-e-Khalq - MeK
Posted by humint to Brux
On News/Activism 06/16/2006 8:16:22 PM PDT · 6 of 10

The Paris Courts of Appeals revoked all restrictions Friday on members of the Iranian resistance...

Interesting timing with respect to nuclear negotiations. The pressure on Tehran just went up a few Pascal.


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Victor Davis Hanson: Betting on Defeat? It’s far from a safe bet
Posted by humint
On News/Activism 06/16/2006 7:58:02 PM PDT · 25 of 28

...as Ambassador Khalilzad and Gen. Casey are in the shadows, giving all the credit to the very public Iraqis and taking most of the blame for the bad news.

Blame may have some relation to fear, however only a fool would accept blame without warrant. --- MACHIAVELLI --- "It is better to be feared than loved, if you cannot be both."


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Omar, Bravo! A very bad week for Iran.
Posted by humint to isaiah55version11_0
On News/Activism 06/14/2006 11:56:10 AM PDT · 6 of 8

...so your doom has been signaled by a modern Omar. And that “bravo,” can it be an accident? No way.



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Victor Davis Hanson: How Oil Lubricates Our Enemies
Posted by humint to neverdem; Tolik
On News/Activism 06/14/2006 11:41:20 AM PDT · 12 of 15

Try telling furious motorists that the extra cost for most drivers amounts only to about $500-700 per year--a pittance compared to sky-high housing prices that leap tens of thousands of dollars annually. No matter: people see the numbers on the gas pump, and less cash in their wallets, and figure the U.S. is teetering on the brink.

Great article, however this point is a little misleading. Energy is a root commodity and while complaints may be heard at the pump, the price of virtually every product we buy depends on the cost of energy. Energy is required to make what we buy and or ship what we buy. The price at the pump is like a red flag, a domino like predictor of price increases in other areas. To keep prices of those items flat, industries will have to cut costs, most likely labor costs. Such cost cutting have their own set of implications which can also be negative.

The brink... I suppose it depends on what one is trying to describe by suggesting we are at the brink. In terms of energy as it relates to our economy, we are at a kind of brink. Make no mistake.


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Will the Public be able to swallow this pill and understand that this is a long war [DoD Town Hall]
Posted by humint to 68skylark
On News/Activism 05/20/2006 9:38:10 PM PDT · 5 of 6

Of the two answers, I think I like Gen. Pace's response better -- he has concrete suggestions. Sec. Rumsfeld seems to say "don't worry too much," but I think we could lose this war with too much of that kind of approach.

Interesting point but look at it this way; Pace and Rumsfeld are members of our team. The first set of answers from Pace covered specifics while the Sec. Def. covered the big picture in historical context. In terms of this interview, IMO, this is exactly how our team should function. In other words, you wouldn't want your centerfielder playing first base when you already have a first baseman, would you?


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Why Are We In Iraq?
Posted by humint to FARS
On News/Activism 05/20/2006 9:08:39 PM PDT · 162 of 165

This guy's got the big picture and can articulate it with convincing clarity. Thanks for the ping...

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Victor Davis Hanson: When Cynicism Meets Fanaticism. Critiquing the critique of the war in Iraq
Posted by humint to Tolik
On News/Activism 03/31/2006 3:35:53 PM PST · 25 of 29

Or put more directly: Can Western enlightenment and power, embedded in deep cynicism, still prevail over ignorance and self-inflicted pathology energized by fanaticism?

YES! There is no acceptable alternative...

BTW, Thanks for the ping.


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Iranian Alert - March 14, 2006 - Russia: "Iran is absolutely no help" in finding a solution
Posted by humint to DoctorZIn
On News/Activism 03/14/2006 9:04:12 PM PST · 8 of 13

Russia: "Iran is absolutely no help" in finding a solution

How often do problems help you solve them?


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Victor Davis Hanson: The Great Stampede. Conservatives are losing their nerve on Iraq
Posted by humint to Tolik
On News/Activism 03/10/2006 9:46:22 PM PST · 79 of 82

Rarely do we hear that most postbellum efforts are long, messy, and necessary, much less that the essence of war is lapse and tragedy, with victory going only to those who in the end err the least and endure.

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Email from Iraq
Posted by humint to MNJohnnie
On General/Chat 03/06/2006 5:26:43 AM PST · 4 of 4

Nobody mentions the fact that my Battalion's area of operations is IED free for over 2 weeks.

I'm glad to hear this! Thanks for posting.


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Bolton: World Must Confront Iran
Posted by humint to NormsRevenge
On News/Activism 03/06/2006 5:09:54 AM PST · 13 of 17

Iran "must be made aware that if it continues down the path of international isolation, there will be tangible and painful consequences," Bolton said.

yes.... PAINFUL CONSEQUENCES!


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IAEA Optimistic on Iran Nuke Program Deal
Posted by humint to Flavius
On News/Activism 03/06/2006 4:53:29 AM PST · 3 of 8

IAEA Optimistic on Iran Nuke Program Deal

This proves Elbaradie can find optimism where there is none to be found. His is a mischarachterization of the situation, particularly Iran's threats leading up to the meeting...


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Bush Ushers India Into Nuclear Club
Posted by humint to Golden Eagle
On News/Activism 03/02/2006 3:59:15 PM PST · 23 of 39

…this just puts our whole formal policy process in question,

Loosen your tie and take a gander at the bigger picture.


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